It could have been 2004. It could have been John Kerry saying the exact same words: “Invading Iraq in the first place was a strategic mistake. It strengthened Iran and brought a terrorist network to Iraq where there was none before.”
The difference. Two things: 1) American public opinion does not settle quickly. But the jury is now out: the Iraq invasion was a strategic mistake and Sen. Obama’s message is consistent with how Americans feel in their gut; 2) Barack Obama is a better candidate than John Kerry. Barack can deliver a one-liner effectively such as the zinger about McCain Beach Boys melody of “bomb Iran”.
But McCain did not perform badly and don’t count him out. For those who recall, George Bush’s performance in the first 2004 debate with Senator Kerry was likely the worst in presidential debate history. Remember the President’s awkward line repeated throughout the debate that being President “is hard work”. Really? Kerry was provided plenty of opportunities by Bush to be buried and you cannot miss that many opportunities on the big stage.
Style and delivery is still a problem for the Arizona Senator. McCain believes he is tested, understands the world better than Obama and is incredulous that the American people don’t see it. This incredulity does not project well on broadcast TV.
Still, except for Iraq and the Pakistan-Afghanistan issues the debate was a substantive disappointment. Neither candidate has really thought though the long-term relationship with Russia and this reflexive reaction that the Republic of Georgia should be gifted $1b billion from the American taxpayers is not good policy. What are the policy goals of the $1billion? What exactly will the $billion be used for? How does Russia perceive the $1billion? What are EU countries doing? If it’s humanitarian assistance how much is the UN giving? Also, there are credible intelligence reports that it was Georgia that initiated the conflict. Few are willing to “straight talk” about this.
Unless I missed it, there was no discussion of America’s long-term relationship with China. How could this be missed? Without question, China poses serious military and economic challenges to US. What about India? And America’s competitive position, which has been eroding?
Given the content and contrasting styles, Obama wins the first round but game far from over.
